Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.170062 0.205233 0.243103 0.286616 0.334939 0.386684 0.446005
2025-02-16 0.116417 0.161738 0.214747 0.280080 0.357232 0.444323 0.548951
2025-02-23 0.078821 0.127496 0.189482 0.271140 0.372977 0.493144 0.643028
2025-03-02 0.049723 0.096324 0.161600 0.253717 0.374833 0.523708 0.715660
2025-03-09 0.034911 0.080636 0.150543 0.255116 0.398550 0.580456 0.820831
2025-03-16 0.022356 0.064140 0.134803 0.247287 0.408306 0.618819 0.903528
2025-03-23 0.016929 0.058203 0.133719 0.259467 0.444880 0.692276 1.031995
2025-03-30 0.011147 0.048895 0.125109 0.258887 0.462795 0.740991 1.129279
2025-04-06 0.007221 0.041568 0.118257 0.259769 0.482068 0.791386 1.229258
2025-04-13 0.004905 0.036996 0.115477 0.266544 0.509756 0.853513 1.345555
2025-04-20 0.003368 0.033649 0.114357 0.275661 0.540905 0.920797 1.469611
2025-04-27 0.002180 0.030340 0.112549 0.283138 0.569466 0.984765 1.589977
2025-05-04 0.001025 0.025091 0.105305 0.280462 0.582489 1.027735 1.683816
2025-05-11 0.000505 0.022154 0.102831 0.286194 0.608898 1.090408 1.805724
2025-05-18 0.000146 0.018273 0.096731 0.284230 0.622493 1.134533 1.902525
2025-05-25 0.000004 0.013257 0.085360 0.270274 0.615191 1.147281 1.955327
2025-06-01 NaN 0.011375 0.082868 0.274102 0.637693 1.204581 2.071424
2025-06-08 NaN 0.008582 0.075830 0.267254 0.641258 1.233120 2.146826
2025-06-15 NaN 0.008229 0.077985 0.280883 0.680969 1.317244 2.302610
2025-06-22 NaN 0.006655 0.074289 0.280749 0.696130 1.363837 2.404895
2025-06-29 NaN 0.005429 0.071351 0.281958 0.713541 1.414007 2.512758
2025-07-06 NaN 0.004797 0.070998 0.289272 0.742150 1.481924 2.646989
2025-07-13 NaN 0.004385 0.071630 0.298986 0.775320 1.557307 2.792677